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Sharp daily MLB picks, transparent results, and a cleaner way to decide what is worth betting before the market moves.

Qualified releases posted early for members.Results tracked in public.Full board built for daily MLB action.
Today's Pick of the Day
No MLB play cleared the Pick of the Day threshold.
Pick of day ROI
25.0%
Pick of day record
15-4
Pick of day streak
0 days
Streak snapped
Longest pick of day streak
7 days
Best settled win streak so far.
MLB Moneyline: 127-133 | ROI +0.3% • MLB Total: 7-8 | ROI -11.9% • MLB Runline: 125-91 | ROI -4.0% • MLB Moneyline: 127-133 | ROI +0.3% • MLB Total: 7-8 | ROI -11.9% • MLB Runline: 125-91 | ROI -4.0% •

Today's board

The Pick of the Day is public. Full sport boards and every other page require membership.

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Daily proof

MLB pick of the day results

The strongest MLB release each day gets its own running record, so the headline play has to earn trust with real tracked results.

ℹ️ How this track record is built

MLB only - the single highest-confidence pick (validated/strong_lean, biggest edge as tiebreak) crowned each day, re-derived from this year's settled history rather than a separately kept log. A day whose top pick is still unsettled is left out entirely rather than swapped for that day's next-best already-decided pick.

Record
15-4
19 qualifying days
Hit rate
78.9%
ROI
25.0%

Tracked performance

Settled betting performance (2026)

This is the broader proof layer: how each sport and market has performed on settled recommendations with enough volume to matter.

ℹ️ What these numbers include

This calendar year only - next year starts its own fresh count, shown separately once there's more than one year of history. Recommended bets only - every settled bet that cleared a recommendation tier, by sport and market. Hit rate (% correct, pushes excluded) and ROI (profit per unit staked). Moneyline is always the exception (never tiered, so every settled moneyline bet counts instead) - NBA's spread and total are too, since no NBA market has cleared a validated tier yet. See each sport's Performance page for the per-tier breakdown.

NFL

Recommended markets with real sample behind them.

Not enough settled bets yet this year (fewer than 10 per market).

MLB

Recommended markets with real sample behind them.
Moneyline
Hit rate
48.8%
ROI
0.3%
260 bets
Total
Hit rate
46.7%
ROI
-11.9%
15 bets
Run line
Hit rate
57.9%
ROI
-4.0%
216 bets

NBA

Recommended markets with real sample behind them.

Not enough settled bets yet this year (fewer than 10 per market).


Trend view

Cumulative ROI (2026)

The charts show whether the edge has held up across the season, and whether recent form is tracking above or below the longer run.

ℹ️ How this chart works

Recommended run-line/spread/total bets only (validated/strong_lean/soft_lean) - moneyline's never tiered, so it's excluded here the same way it is on each sport's Performance page. The solid line is all-time ROI since Jan 1; the dashed line is the rolling last-20-bet ROI, a noisier but more current read on recent form.

NFL

Not enough settled tiered bets yet this year to chart.

MLB

+56.4%+1.6%+0.0%-53.2%ROI2026-06-222026-07-12-4.5%All-time ROILast 20 betsDaily ROI

As of 2026-07-12: all-time ROI -4.5%, daily ROI -35.5%, last-20-bet ROI -25.8%. Hover or focus any date for details.

NBA

Not enough settled tiered bets yet this year to chart.

Murphy's Pick

Meet the dog

Cumulative ROI for the coin-flip desk. Flat $1 picks, moneyline only, zero spreadsheets harmed.

+151.6%+75.8%+0.0%ROI2026-07-102026-07-12+93.4%

As of 2026-07-12: all-time ROI +93.4%, daily ROI +66.1%. Hover or focus any date for details.